Airport Forecasting
Mobile Airport Authority Metropolitan Airport Systems Study, Mobile, AL (2018)
Conducted a Metropolitan Airport Systems Study to examine the feasibility of shifting commercial passenger service from Mobile Regional Airport to the Mobile Downtown Airport. The study involved creating short-term traffic forecasts including estimations of leakage recapture due to the change in airport location. The cost-benefit of the relocation was also estimated in terms of tourism, state and local taxes, and business receipts.
Baton Rouge Metropolitan Airport Master Plan, Baton Rouge, LA (2016)
Supervised the creation of demand forecasts in support of the Airport’s Master Plan; forecasts covered commercial traffic and ATMs, freight and mail, General Aviation and busy periods/peak hour.
Prefeasibility Study for a Third Airport in São Paulo, Multiple Clients, Brazil (2009, 2016)
Led forecasting efforts for a technical and financial feasibility study of the development of a third international airport for São Paulo, Brazil.
Long-Term Traffic Forecasts for Mohammed V International Airport, Zurich Airport Ltd., Morocco (2015)
Oversaw creation of long-term traffic forecasts for Royal Air Maroc and other carriers at the Airport. Supervised creation of design day schedules for use in estimating future stand demand and baggage handling scenario analysis.
Cargo Demand Forecasts, John C. Munro Hamilton International Airport, Ontario, Canada (2013)
Supervised the creation of a detailed 20-year cargo demand forecast for YHM Airport. The project also provided planning and design support for a proposed cross-dock facility. Short-term forecasts were based on a series of potential user interviews including freight forwarders and integrators. Long-term forecasts were based on an econometric model.
Airport Development & Management Project, Aeropuertos y Auxiliares (ASA), Mexico (2012)
Managed study funded by the United States Trade Development Agency (USTDA) to forecast traffic, assess infrastructure requirements, evaluate safety and environmental processes, and create an air service development strategy at four airports in the greater Mexico City area.
São Paulo Regional Airports Forecasting and Sell-side Advisory, Aviation Department of the State of São Paulo (DAESP), Brazil (2012)
Led team in creation of route level forecasts for 27 DAESP airports.
Traffic Forecasts for AENA Airports, Advent International, Spain (2011)
Prepared forecasts of long-term traffic growth at 47 Spanish airports owned by AENA including Madrid Barajas and Barcelona El Prat.
Traffic Forecasts for OMA and Mexico City Airports, Advent International, Mexico (2010)
Created route-level short-term forecasts for 13 airports in Mexico operated by OMA and for Mexico City International Airport (AICM).
Traffic Forecasts for Quito International Airport, Quiport, Ecuador (2008)
Created long-term traffic forecasts and design day forecasts for use in planning the capacity of the new airport.
Traffic Forecasts for Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico (GAP), Abertis Airports, Mexico (2007)
Prepared traffic forecasts for 12 Mexican airports operated by Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico (GAP).
New England Regional System Plan, FAA, Boston, MA (2005)
Served as lead forecaster. The New England Regional System Plan developed comprehensive forecasts of aviation demand across the primary airports of the six-state New England region. Ms. Jaedicke analyzed air service and economic trends in the region. Based on these trends and regional projections of air travel demand, she developed short and long-term forecasts of scheduled passenger demand for the region at the city/town and county level.
Airport Transaction Due Diligence
Great Hall Partners Concession Bid Due Diligence, Denver, CO (2017)
Created the long-term passenger traffic forecasts used in the winning bid by Great Hall Partners (Ferrovial Airports/Saunders Construction/JLC Infrastructure) for the Denver Great Hall (Jeppesen Terminal) privatization. Ms. Jaedicke supervised operating model creation including aeronautical and non-aeronautical revenue streams; operating expenses and capex. She prepared reports and presentations given by the Client as part of its bid to the Denver Department of Aviation.
LaGuardia Airport Privatization, Goldman Sachs, New York, NY (2014)
For the privatization of the Central Terminal at LaGuardia, Ms. Jaedicke led the traffic forecasting effort as part of a bid consortium’s due diligence. She designed an annual traffic forecast model and supervised creation of forecast design day schedules and coordinated integration of traffic and revenue forecast models.
Billy Bishop Toronto City Airport Privatization Due Diligence, Macquarie Infrastructure and Real Assets, Toronto, Canada (2014)
Served as project manager and lead traffic forecaster as part of bid due diligence. Ms. Jaedicke managed five contiguous work streams: traffic forecasting, environmental assessment, safety and security evaluation, and airport planning.
Sendai International Airport Privatization, Confidential Consortium, Japan (2014)
Created long-term traffic forecasts for use in evaluating the value of the Airport.
Midway Airport Privatization Due Diligence, IFM, Chicago, IL (2013)
Served as lead traffic forecaster. Ms. Jaedicke created route-level and econometric forecast models of passengers and ATMs involving the assessment of airport constraints.
Sanford International Airport Due Diligence, Macquarie European Infrastructure Funds, Sanford, FL (2013)
Served as lead traffic forecaster, providing advice related to traffic forecasts and business plan forecasts (including all cost and revenue streams) and identification of risks and opportunities regarding the sale of Orlando Sanford International Airport by Abertis Airports.
Rio de Janeiro Galeão Airport Privatization, Fraport, Brazil (2013)
Developed route level forecasts for both airports serving the Rio di Janeiro market as well as a passenger share model for the international traffic into Brazil via Rio and São Paulo.
São Paulo Airport Privatization, Fraport, Brazil (2011)
Created an airport share model for the São Paulo passenger market, distributing traffic across three airports based on airport preference factors and infrastructure constraints.
Bogotá El Dorado Airport Due Diligence, InterAmerican Development Bank, Colombia (2007, 2009)
Created passenger and aircraft operations forecasts aiding in airport revenue projections for investors involved in the privatisation process as well as due diligence for the IDB.
St. Petersburg Pulkovo International Airport Privatization Due Diligence, Hochtief, Russia (2007)
Prepared long term-traffic forecasts, including peak periods for prospective buyer.
Airport Strategy
Massport Bond Feasibility Reports, Boston, MA (2015-2016)
Supervised the preparation of feasibility reports in support of bond issuances in 2015 and 2016. Ms. Jaedicke also presented these reports to rating agencies. The reports include a socioeconomic review of the Greater Boston metro area and a review of Massport’s financial and planning traffic forecasts.
Air Service Marketing and Strategy, Tampa International Airport, Tampa, FL (2012-2017)
Managed a team on a multi-year contract to conduct air service marketing, stakeholder engagement, strategic planning, airline presentations, and route forecasts. Tasks included leakage studies, understanding the economic impact of new air service, community surveys, business surveys, as well as analysis of how Tampa fits into existing airline route networks.
Air Service Marketing and Stakeholder Engagement, San Angelo Regional Airport, San Angelo, TX (2011-2013)
Served as project manager, supervising surveys of the community (including via social media), business surveys, and making city council presentations regarding air service at the Airport. Ms. Jaedicke prepared route forecasts and airline presentations. She also accompanied the Airport on trips to airline headquarters and air service conferences.
Airport System Plan, U.S. Trade & Development Agency, Morocco (2006)
Performed macroeconomic analysis of factors affecting the development of aviation in Morocco; constructed aviation and financial forecasts for infrastructure sizing and development.
Van Nuys Airport Part 161 Study, HMMH, Van Nuys, CA (2006)
Analyzed the General Aviation (GA) aircraft operations data and assisted in creating the forecasts used in support of a 161 application for Van Nuys Airport. Multiple types of restrictions were addressed including incentives, daytime noise limits, curfews, helicopter caps, among others. Ms. Jaedicke organized aircraft operations data from the air traffic control tower (daily logs and curfew counts), aggregating operations by aircraft type (and noise stage), day of week, and time of day. Her data was used as inputs into the FAA’s Integrated Noise Model (INM model), which analyzed the noise impacts of the Airport’s operations on the surrounding area (noise contours).
Economic Impact
Strike Economic Impact Analysis, Hawaiian Airlines, Honolulu, HI (2016)
In late 2016, negotiations between the Hawaiian Airlines’ management and its pilots reached an impasse. As a result, the Airline began preparing for a strike. Ms. Jaedicke led a team of consultants that estimated the potential economic impact to the State of Hawaii of a strike. Multiple scenarios were evaluated based on the timing of the strike and varying strike lengths. Impacts were estimated for the following areas: airline operations, inter-state trade, healthcare, cultural effects, inter-island business and education. Impacts were estimated using the IMPLAN input-output model.
Airport Economic Impact Analysis, Hillsborough County Aviation Authority, Tampa, FL (2011)
Led a study to estimate impacts (direct, indirect and induced) of Tampa International Airport on the surrounding region and the State of Florida. The study included assessing the impacts from visitor spending, current and new international air service, the capital investment plan, airport management and tenants, and taxes. In addition to overall airport impacts, the impacts of individual routes were also calculated. Impacts were estimated using the IMPLAN input-output model.
Tourism Strategy
Tourism and Aviation Market Review, International Finance Corporation (IFC), Samoa (2016)
Analyzed the cost-benefit of investing in air service development strategies to increase tourist arrivals.
Joint Venture Review, Government of Samoa (2016)
Supervised diagnostic analysis of existing joint venture between the Government of Samoa and Virgin Australia.
Study on Developing Air Linkages to Sustain Tourism, Standing Committee for Economic and Commercial Cooperation of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (COMCEC) (2014)
Identified the status of air transportation services in 56 OIC member states, determined the barriers to enhancing air transportation and proposed recommendations for improving air linkages to foster tourism activities.